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Investing With Boxing Picks, Week 44: The Battle For 154 Pound Supremacy

Jermell Charlo meets Brian Castano in San Antonio for all the marbles.

Well, we missed badly on our William ZepedaHector Tanajara call last week.  Zepeda was very impressive in cutting off the ring and punishing Tanajara, who didn’t have enough power to affect Zepeda at all.  We thought Tanajara’s movement would prove to be a much bigger factor in the fight and maybe we were overrating him.  But we think we were underrating Zepeda a bit and didn’t expect him to be able to walk straight to Tanajara.  JoJo Diaz bailed us out somewhat by taking care of Javier Fortuna in a fight that looked like we expected it to look.  We’ve taken modest losses in the last two weeks to leave our portfolio as follows:


Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20):  58.54%

Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20):    32.40%

Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI):   17.96%


The only fight we’re betting this week is Saturday’s PBC main event, Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano.  Castano is Argentina’s most accomplished active fighter.  He’s got good hand speed and tries to outwork his opponents.  He’s well conditioned and fights behind a fairly effective high guard.  We’ve never seen him hurt but Charlo is likely the biggest puncher he’s ever faced.  He’s giving up 3″ in height and 6″ in reach, so he must keep things at close range to have a real chance at winning.  Charlo is a well rounded fighter and he’ll likely give some ground here and look to pick Castano off on the way in.  He’s an effective counter puncher and may give Castano some lateral movement and try to walk him on to some big shots.  We’ve seen Charlo drift a little at times and he could be susceptible to an effective pressuring style.  But we think he’s got more natural advantages and enough versatility to execute a backup fight plan if he needs to.  We got in a little late on this line as late money has come in on Charlo in the last few days.  But we’re still picking him with a five unit bet.


$73 on Jermell Charlo at -264


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