We extended our rebound streak two weeks ago when Brandon Figueroa put together a great performance to break Luis Nery down. Our portfolio is now solidly outperforming our mutual funds investment…for the moment.
Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 60.27%
Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 35.79%
Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI): 18.67%
The first fight we’ll look at is an undercard fight on DAZN’s Saturday card, Jason Quigley vs Shane Mosley Jr. Quigley enters his third fight with Andy Lee as trainer after being taken apart by Tureano Johnson. He’s also coming off a 16 month layoff so we’re not sure how that will affect him. He likes to use his feet and move around and look to counter. Johnson walked him down and assaulted him and that’s not likely to happen in this fight. Mosley has bounced around a little after a decent run on The Contender. He was no match for Brandon Adams in the final but held his own throughout the show and endured a lot of psychological warfare. The styles are somewhat similar in this fight. Neither guy features the jab, but we think Quigley has a slight advantage in movement and we think he’ll outland Mosley in a competitive fight that never fully ignites.
$55 on Jason Quigley at -207
We’re also betting another undercard fight on the DAZN show, Martin Joseph Ward vs Azinga Fuzile. Ward likes to work off the back foot behind his jab and not let you set up. He’ll win with his feet if he can and doesn’t want to match power with you. But he may find it difficult to get the jab going against the rangy southpaw Fuzile, who also likes to fight on the back foot and walk you on to counters. The danger for Fuzile is that Ward probably won’t give him a lot of counter opportunities. We think this will be a low volume affair with not much between the fighters in the early rounds. But Fuzile is the more skilled fighter and we expect it to show down the stretch.
$41 on Azinga Fuzile at -105
Next up is an undercard fight on PBC‘s Saturday night Showtime card, Subriel Matias vs Batyrzhan Jukembayev. This should prove to be an entertaining, competitive scrap. Matias has run hot and cold in his last few fights. He’s a stout 140 pounder and he likes to walk straight to you and see if you can deal with his strength. He’s not an explosive puncher, but he’s got thudding power and does not care a bit about defense. In his last fight against Malik Hawkins he had no respect for Hawkins’ power and fought in the trenches with his hands below his waist. Hawkins couldn’t keep the pace and was ground down and stopped in punishing fashion. But Petros Ananyan was able to match his volume and surprisingly dropped Matias and had more in the tank down the stretch to earn an upset victory. The southpaw Jukembayev is physically stronger than both Ananyan and Hawkins. It will be interesting to see if he chooses to stand in the pocket and trade with Matias or give some ground and walk him on to straight left hands. He doesn’t move a lot laterally but he will step back to open up space to throw. His defense is fairly sound but we’re not sure if he’s mentally ready for the kind of grueling battle that Matias forces everyone into. It’s a big step up for Jukembayev, but we think he’s ready for the test. We’ll be watching the PBC card live and catching the DAZN card on delay because we think there is real potential here for fireworks.
$41 on Batyrzhan Jukembayev at -127
The last fight we’re betting this week is the PBC main event, Nordine Oubaali vs Nonito Donaire. This could be great. Oubaali is a squat, come forward southpaw who will look to pressure Donaire. It’s not a style you see very often. He’s a good inside fighter, physically strong and will work with the right hook. But he’s really looking to land the straight left. We have to admit that we had all but written Donaire off before he turned back the clock in a classic battle with Naoya Inoue. But he’s never been beaten at 118 pounds. He’s a little long in the tooth at 38, but he has a left hook that can still shake anyone at this weight. Oubaali’s style will put him in range for it and Nonito will need to find a way to get it home. He’ll be the much taller man here, but will likely welcome a war if it’s an option. We felt like Donaire fell in love with his power to his detriment as he moved up the ranks back in his prime. But power is the last thing to go and it could be his saving grace at this advanced age. Oubaali is the solid favorite here, but this is the toughest test of his career. And big potential paydays lurk if he passes this test. We’re trying to convince ourselves this bet isn’t purely sentimental, but we’re going with one unit on Nonito to add to his already substantial legacy.
$14 on Nonito Donaire at +221