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Investing With Boxing Picks, Week 51: Little Big Men

The fuse is lit as Junto Nakatani meets Angel Acosta in Tucson.

We finally broke another streak and logged a profitable weekend when Maxi Hughes notched another good win.  Here’s how our portfolio currently stands:


Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20):  42.92%

Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20):    32.79%

Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI):   14.51%


This week we’re betting an undercard fight on Top Rank’s Friday night show, Junto Nakatani vs Angel Acosta.  We don’t normally bet on a fight with a line this wide, but we’ve got a soft spot for Acosta and think he’s one of the most exciting fighters in the world.  Nakatani will have a big height and reach advantage and has good feet.  He should be able to control range and he has enough power to get Acosta out of there.  But Acosta will go down swinging.  He can crack, and even though this will only be his third fight at 112 pounds we expect that he’ll carry his power up.  Nakatani has likely faced better technicians than Acosta, but he probably hasn’t faced a bigger puncher.  We understand why Nakatani is the clear favorite here but we still think this line is too wide.  And we’ll always take a flyer on a fighter with the offensive skills of Acosta if we’re given the chance.  This is our most anticipated fight of the weekend.


$14 on Angel Acosta at  +378


We’re also betting an undercard fight on Triller’s show that we won’t be watching, Andy Vences vs Jono Carroll.  It’s a well matched fight between two guys who need a win.  We thought Carroll looked a bit listless against Maxi Hughes, but as we found out last weekend Hughes is a tough guy to land shots on.  We’ve also though Vences seemed to coast at times in recent fights but he proved his toughness last time out when he weathered a real storm against Luis Lopez to stay in a close fight.  Carroll has the quicker feet and hands, Vences is stronger and has a little more pop.  We think we’ll see a fight with a lot of action in close quarters.  Both men should come into this one highly motivated as a loss here could mean a long road back to decent paydays.  We could see Carroll winning this by keeping his hands busy and pivoting around Vences on the inside.  And the oddsmakers have this as a near coin flip.  But we’re taking Vences to win by a round in a fight that will go the distance and could easily be scored for the other man.


$42 on Andy Vences at -107

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