We’re back from a short hiatus. Unfortunately we missed last weekend and some great betting opportunities. We’re closing in on one year since we began our experiment, and here are the results so far:
Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 47.92%
Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 29.60%
Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI): 16.15%
This weekend we’re betting on an undercard fight on the remains of the once blockbuster PBC PPV card, Mark Magsayo vs Julio Ceja. Magsayo is taking a big step up in this fight. When we’ve seen him, he has primarily used his hand speed off the back foot and looked to counter. He’ll be the quicker man and he’ll want to avoid staying on the inside. Ceja is one of our favorite action fighters. He’ll come right at Magsayo and look to force a war. Ceja can be hurt, he was stopped with a broken nose against Manzanilla in a fight that was even to that point. He unbelievably forced Guillermo Rigondeaux into a crowd pleasing trench war, but was ultimately stopped by Rigo’s accurate power shots. Last time out Ceja blew weight by 4 pounds, but fought to a draw with Brandon Figueroa in another very good action fight. He’s there to be hit and Magsayo won’t have any trouble finding him. The crux of this fight revolves entirely on Magsayo’s ability to control range and not get stuck in the corners eating left hooks to the body. Before Ceja’s last fight with Figueroa, we would have had a lot more questions about whether or not he could keep up the pressure for a full fight. And we probably should still have some questions since Ceja has been out of the ring for nearly two years now. But this line looks too wide to us. Magsayo will have taken a big step forward if he can survive the gauntlet of an in shape Ceja. We think there’s a good chance he won’t.
$14 on Julio Ceja at +244