Well, we missed badly on Ogawa-Cordina last week. It was probably somewhat due to overvaluing Ogawa, but mostly we had what proved to be a poor evaluation of Joe Cordina. Devin Haney bailed us out with a solid performance against Kambosos that left no doubt about the outcome. We lost a little ground but it wasn’t a disaster and our portfolio now looks like this:
Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 15.05%
Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 4.77%
Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI): 6.76%
The first fight we’re betting this weekend is the co-main event of DAZN’s Friday night card, Rocky Hernandez vs Jorge Castaneda. This one should prove to be an action packed fight. Hernandez probably carries a little more power and has fought a slightly higher level of competition. Castaneda will enjoy a height and reach advantage but we don’t expect him to try to keep things at distance. Each guy has been stopped but they’re both riding modest winning streaks of late. We think they’ll be willing to exchange and the betting public slightly favors a stoppage in this fight. We think Hernandez is just a bit better and he’ll have his hand raised.
$51 on Rocky Hernandez at -216
We’re also betting the main event on Saturday’s Top Rank show on ESPN, Edgar Berlanga vs Alexis Angulo. Berlanga has been much maligned over his last three fights as he’s stepped up his competition level. But in terms of his development they have likely been important fights. He had only fought 16 rounds in his professional career before logging 28 rounds in his last three starts. He’s now been down from a Marcelo Coceres right hand and gotten up to weather the storm. Some people have felt like he was lucky to get the decision against Coceres and Rolls but we scored both fights for him in competitive decisions. Rolls gave him problems at times with movement. Angulo is more likely to look to land something big and test his chin again but he’s not a pressure fighter. It’ll be interesting to see if Berlanga goes at him and tries to match power shots with him. It’s what we would have expected two years ago but we’re not so sure it’s the style his new trainer Juan DeLeon favors. We think Berlanga is just the better fighter and he’ll get it done.
$51 on Edgar Berlanga at -271