After treading water the last few weeks, we finally broke through with some good bets. Our portfolio now looks like this:
Boxing Betting Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 240.52%
Mutual Funds Annualized Rate of Return (since 9/17/20): 55.25%
Boxing Betting Return On Investment (ROI): 32.00%
This week we’re betting Saturday’s PBC undercard fight, Matvey Korobov vs Ronald Ellis. Ellis has good hand speed and will likely be on the back foot here looking for counter shots. He was a national Golden Gloves champion as an amateur but has seemingly found his ceiling a level below contender level as a pro. He’s got some tools and has never been dominated, but he’s been beaten and held to draws in smaller step ups than Korobov represents. He’ll have a 7″ reach advantage here, so it’s possible he could use his feet and speed to get the win, but that hasn’t been his style to this point. This is the biggest fight of his career. The 37 year old Korobov is a talented fighter who boasts amateur victories over Oleksandr Usyk and Sergey Kovalev. He was surprisingly slowly moved after beginning his pro career at 25 years old. It took him six years to reach contender level and since then he’s just not quite been able to get over the hump. He was beating Andy Lee until he got clipped by a Lee right hook and went home early. He took a late replacement title shot against Jermall Charlo and was competitive enough that some had the fight a draw. We think Korobov has the pedigree and experience that he shouldn’t have a lot of trouble getting past Ellis. But the risk in this bet is Korobov’s left rotator cuff. He tore it in his last fight against Chris Eubank Jr last December. Following the fight Korobov decided to rehab the shoulder without surgery and this will be the first test of that strategy. Will the shoulder hold up? And if it does, will Korobov trust it enough to use it? This is the point in many fighters’ careers when their bodies start to fall apart. We’re betting Korobov gets through this and lines himself up one more big opportunity.
$40 on Matvey Korobov at -144